Bi-Annual Presentation and 2024 Prediction

We summarise our year and how China and Russia will exit Africa out of fear of Islamic International Forces and reproach Western countries and why NATO and France will push against and expand into Eastern Europe, especially Russia, not because of geopolitical imperialist expansion but because their enemies have successfully pushed them out of their spheres of influence in Africa and beyond. Stay tuned, Thank you.

2023 Annual Balance and 2024 Geopolitical and Military Forecast 

2023 was a remarkable year for our blog because we successfully abandoned the Russia-Ukraine war.

Our blog successfully closed this chapter, just like we promised one year ago on our Bi-Annual presentation.

We leave behind a conflict that no longer represents a geopolitical balance between Russia and Belarus vs NATO members and allies, but economic spheres defined by private economic agents that work in pursuit of success at the expense of the adversary’s country's economy and ideology.

A perfect example is how money and assets seized from Russian oligarchs re-enter the Eastern Europe economy via Ukraine.

What will these new agents pursue and how will the war between Russia and Ukraine be a token of financial speculation, will it be through hedge funds?

I suppose the simplistic view that these Agents will finance lobbies with influence in Russia national politics and engage hedge funds that award profits to economic agents investing in military equipment is not welcome at this point in time because the conflict is anything but simple.

A more complex view of the matter will render the Eastern block that was once the USSR, as a block that went from rags to riches and became Russia. This view will ignore substantial progress made by Russia at the social state level and focus specifically on the international importance of Russia abroad, and how such importance was severely severed by the legal framework imposed on Russia international partners and military trade allies, and how Wagner Mercenaries were tainted with scandal after scandal and buried with a weak attempt to undermine President Putin’s presidency.

Perhaps this is a magnified view of what is happening to Russia at a global level - that Russia is being buried alive culturally, historically, economically and morally.

But what about at home? Can war and will war mean economic crunch for Russia or Russia’s economy and financial agents can circumvent being substituted regionally by rising economic forces that can isolate, insulate and make Russia insignificant in the near future?

Lately I have been obsessed with RTS, Serbia TV Channel. I am amazed at how Serbians are obsessed with inflation and how they provide a high standard indebt coverage of Russia's international presence in third world countries. Is as if Serbia’s media glamorizes  Russia as a prop to show viewers how Serbia lost against NATO, but Russia is still the hero, still wins and is still in charge despite all!

But Serbia's inflation problems and social anxiety persists. Serbia also seems clingy to the past and in promoting stories and individual recollections of how Serbians were the  victims of torture and lies, and how many Serbians were happily married with Muslim ethnic minorities.

What will Russia and Ukraine narrate to their peoples via media when this war is all over?

How will they portray each other and how will they portray NATO? 

These are social and moral traumas that can be reconstructed in many manners, but the reality is that both countries are insignificant in the top richest countries of the world, yet are so much better in terms of social state than many other western countries that relied on slavery, Colonialism and now Neocolonialism, yet still remain poor like Portugal and Brazil.

Individual greed and corruption never really let the State’s coffins of Brazil and Portugal be full of Latin America gold , Angola’s oil and Cape Verde farming and fishing profits.

Corruption and individual greed is a trait of the Ukrainian economy, so I must ask, how centralisation or decentralization of the Ukraine government will help in the broader context of war with Russia, without a strict directed international economic orientation by International 

bodies that can direct but also freeze goods and assets in Ukraine? 

I suspect this will be the new focus of NATO and the European Union, but this will not be possible without making viable an ideological, financial and military rivalry between Russia and Ukraine that will allow Russia’s formal international partners to shift their attention to Ukraine and drop Russia.

BRICS to me represents the perfect international  platform where Russia will reinforce ties with India and South Africa, two traditional Neo-colonial satellites of Britain in Asia and Africa, with India being a satellite in Africa as well. These forged ties with other countries will unavoidably rival other African countries' trust in Russia, as they struggle with historical scars left by Apartheid South Africa Government intervention in their countries, and present scars left by Indian Ugandese and Indian Pakistani Muslims in African terrorist groups.

Russia will be seen as just another neo-colonial force, while other formal British colonies such as Nigeria will be the first to ring the alarm and recommend other Africans to purchase armament from Poland and other Eastern European countries like it is doing now.

Equally, in Asia, China will distance itself from Russia and re-approach Britain to appease tensions over Taiwan, but also because China does not wish to start a trade war with India and other BRIC countries.

Our British Blog, Ariane Brito Analysis, is now focused on other countries and conflicts.

Throughout this past year 2023, we made short videos About Africa’s coup d’etats and the widespread wave of Islamic Groups and Bandit terrorist groups in Africa.

Also, how countries like Israel failed to expose Hamas racism against African hostages of the 7th of October 2023 terrorist attack in Israel-Gaza borders, notably how Tanzanian students picking fruit in Israel were quickly executed by Hamas as useless prisoners sheerly  because of their skin color.

Colorism and racism remains pervasive in Arab countries, and we are yet to know the extent of such in the spread of Islamist groups in Africa. Groups widely academically known to be originated and financed by Indo Pakistani, North African and Egyptian Arabs and Middle Eastern Islamists.

Is all about dehumanization and hate against African skin color or Libya slave markets selling Nigerians slaves in 2023 are the tip of the iceberg of what lies underneath the Arab world in North Africa and in the Middle East?

If this is so, what will happen to African nations in 2024 now that Egypt, Algeria and other North African countries are welcoming nuclear energy?

Equally, what will happen to African countries now that more and more new viruses hit the continent and the food sources do not match the mouths to feed?

The same that is happening in Latin America and in Asia, larger amounts of people will want to migrate illegally  to the west disregarding the inexistence of warfare in their countries of origin.

This is a clear indication that Prime Minister Tony Blair’s Globalization dream made sense and that the World Trade Centre international policies made sense - Bin Laden notorious for the 9/11 bombing might have disagree, but the reality is that sourcing products in third world countries and promoting employment there made sense, and now more than ever, Left wing countries in the western world will need to change their immigration policies and doctrine to champion a new globalization via promoting the return of third world migrants to their origins.

But wait, this is precisely what on the other side of the continent the African Union is promoting and fomenting at the international level.

On our last podcast of the year 2023 ‘ Free Borders for Migration’, we analyzed the design and implementation stages of this two part international policy involving 36 countries, and what it entails in this new stage of the African Union International Migration Policy framework, but we left out how western countries will have to actively get involved in this process to make it viable, for the simple reason that in 2024  Russia is no longer a key player in Africa, nor is China because both now fear to crash with Islamist groups and spheres of influence ( from India, North Africa and the Middle East) that may drag them into international conflicts adverse to their international interests and problems at home, namely containing the western culture penetration with consequent erosion of the Chinese and Russian family units concepts, traditional gender identities and glamorization of sexuality and drug use.

President Netayu of Israel stated that Hamas ( implied other friends such as Iran) seek the return of the Arab glorious period in history where Arab slave trade and international Islam were in place.

I believe that Arabs in the Middle East, especially Arabs in Syria proved that they do not seek such , but racist Arabs like Algerians, Tunisians, Egyptians, are like President Moji of India, once their African counterparts turn their backs or walk in front of them, they look at them with profound disdain and despise and try to signal to their shocked white counterparts, that they are ready to oppress Africans.

But they are deluded. This ‘ peacock public display ‘ of racial hatred on the part of North African Arabs, Indians, Indo-Pakistanis, Portuguese and Brazilians against Africans is a reflection of their severe inferiority complex in relation to Anglo and Franco western culture, which they only associate with racism against Africans, because only in this dichotomy the English and French  are seen as white, otherwise they are seen as successful western cultures that in turn reflect the morally, socially and culturally unsuccessful cultures repleted of tribalism, classism, colorism, caste wars, sexual violence, corruption, poverty and regional rivalries of India, Tunisia, Algeria, etc.

I believe the way forward for my blog is to progress towards a Think Tank Group that welcomes other people who wish to volunteer like I do in analyzing contentious international issues, but going a step forward in writing reports for Governments in Africa and Latin America.

Why do I believe Latin America is vital in our future analysis ? 

Because Latin America's drug production supply chain is shifting to Africa for consuming purposes and trends show that it needs to shift to Africa because Fentanyl and other drugs like speed are taking over in the western upper classes.

So Africa will need to come up with the markets that make cocaine profitable and this will only be two types of markets: human organ harvesting and war gains and spoils, such as mines and precious stones,so Latin American countries will need Africa greatly and will promote mass migration routes to the US, so as to capitalize of supplying African prostitutes and human organs in exchange for drugs that will further permeate countries like Nigeria via its diaspora and belligerent groups - Islamist directed economies and recruitment of these groups that always include feeding, drugging and supplying women and children for sexual purposes to the belligerent soldiers.

This promising market prospect is why we will see more conflicts and Islamist groups rise in 2024, because there will be more mobilization and multi direction of drug addicts to and in conflict areas across the African continent.

It is therefore imperative that international migration becomes focus of 2024 International leadership, because the western market of illegal organs( especially lungs damaged by Covid ) and human slavery will boom and materialize in Arab Culture revival of racist countries in Africa such as Algeria, Libya and Tunisia, but also push western countries traditional natural resources away from Africa and trap NATO and France to push against Russia and Eastern Europe for geopolitical and mining rights, because these areas have a similar profile to the mining industries in Africa, particularly lithium and uranium.

The African countries in 2024  will have to revise their international ties and counteract by pushing inter-regional westernization. 

But the question for 2024 is ‘ Will this mean Peace for All?' ,  I suspect not.

Stay tuned,

Ariane Brito Analysis Blog

www.arianebritonalaysis.org